December 2025 Weather Update In Pakistan – Low Rainfall & Higher Temperatures
Pakistan is expected to experience below-normal rainfall and above-normal temperatures during December 2025, according to the latest meteorological outlook.
These weather conditions could have significant impacts on agriculture, water availability, health, and transportation across the country.
Climate Patterns Influencing December Weather
The global climate system indicates that the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), currently in a negative phase, is projected to shift to a neutral state by the end of December. ENSO plays a crucial role in shaping rainfall patterns in South Asia, and its transition may influence precipitation trends in Pakistan.
Meanwhile, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase and is expected to remain stable throughout the month. Neutral IOD conditions usually do not favor extreme rainfall events but can influence regional temperature anomalies.
Monthly Rainfall Outlook: Below-Normal Rainfall Across Most Regions
Based on current meteorological models, most parts of Pakistan are likely to experience below-normal rainfall in December 2025. Key details include:
Regions Likely to Experience Significant Deficit
- Northern Punjab
- Balochistan (except coastal areas)
- Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
- Kashmir
- Gilgit-Baltistan
These areas may see rainfall well below average, which could affect agriculture and water resources.
Regions with Near-Normal Rainfall
- Southern Punjab
- Sindh
- Adjoining areas of Balochistan
These regions are expected to receive rainfall close to seasonal averages, providing some relief for water reservoirs and agricultural lands.
Monthly Temperature Outlook: Above-Normal Heat Nationwide
Temperature Trends
Mean temperatures across Pakistan are forecasted to be above normal in December 2025, with the maximum deviations in:
- Gilgit-Baltistan
- Kashmir
- Coastal Balochistan
- Northern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
Slightly warmer-than-normal temperatures may extend certain vector-borne disease seasons and affect daily life, particularly in urban areas.
Potential Impacts of Dry and Warm Conditions
Agriculture
- Reduced rainfall may limit water availability for irrigation, particularly in rain-fed agricultural zones.
- Rabi crops may face challenges in germination and early growth due to insufficient moisture.
Water Resources
- Reservoir replenishment may be lower than average, especially in regions dependent on December rainfall.
- Water management authorities are advised to monitor levels closely and prepare for potential shortages.
Health and Environment
- Warmer temperatures may prolong the dengue season, especially in Punjab, Sindh, and Balochistan.
- Smog formation in plains of Punjab, Sindh, and KP may increase, posing risks to children, elderly, and individuals with respiratory conditions.
Transport and Visibility
- Fog formation is expected in central and eastern Punjab, adjoining areas of KP, and upper Sindh.
- Reduced visibility could disrupt highway travel and airport operations, particularly during late nights and early mornings.
Conclusion
December 2025 in Pakistan is likely to be warmer and drier than usual, with below-normal rainfall and above-normal temperatures affecting agriculture, water resources, health, and transportation. Authorities and citizens are advised to take precautionary measures, including water conservation, vector control, and careful travel planning during foggy periods. Awareness of these conditions will help communities adapt to climate variability and mitigate potential risks during the month.